Thursday, May 29, 2008

"Don't Piss On My Back..And Tell Me Its Raining!": Clinton Tries To Play The Super Delegates

When I was a young boy, my brothers and I, like most boys, would occasionally find ourselves
in trouble, having to explain ourselves to mom.

If you were clever - and there is a certain blogger who was indeed clever - you would try to get to mom first and argue your case before she meted out punishment. The logic was that you could gain an edge (e.g., less severe punishment) if you could reason with mom. I wrote hundreds of letters in my lifetime, but the proximity to mom during those days required face-to-face appeals. But, ah, if I could and if it were appropriate I would have written mom letters hoping to convince her that a very lenient approach to disciplining would be a testament to her compassion. Eloquent and convincing.

I was never effective, because no matter what happened, I would have to explain myself time and time again before listening to the sentence that mom handed down.

Sen. Hillary Clinton is no good letter writer.

She has sent a letter to all Democratic Super Delegates, outlining her case as to why they should support her. In short, why she is more qualified to be the nominee. Tragically, this is another attempt on her part to spin her position, with the ultimate goal to steal the nomination from Sen. Barack Obama.

There is nothing unique or new that, in my opinion, should convince the Super Delegates. Sen. Clinton argues that 17 million people have voted ("supported") her in "my effort to become the Democratic nominee". This is not true, and she knows it. We have been here before. And yet, Sen. Clinton wants to count things that cannot be counted. RealClearPolitics has all the math you need to see that her math is shady. The nomination, according to the rules, will be determined by whichever candidate has the most delegates (2026). So you can argue about how many people supported you (popular) vote; and you can spin the math, but there is a reality and reason why the DNC has 2025 or 2026 as the finish line.

In the letter, Sen. Clinton writes, "[voters] want a President who shares their core beliefs about our country and its future and "gets" what they go through every day to care for their families, pay the bills and try to put something away for the future."

What? Are you kidding me?

How can someone who pulled down over $100 million in less than 10 years "get" what other people are going through? How can you grasp and fully understand how Americans are literally crushing under the combined weight of high gas prices, low home values and an unbelievably selfish government?

Well, Americans "get" that lying about sniper fire is not the best method to win the nomination. We also "get" that accusing your opponent of plagiarism seems odd, when you plagiarize your husband and the former Presidential candidate, Sen. John Edwards in your speeches...."I can take a hit.." or whatever it was... Americans "get" that referencing the assassination of a Kennedy as a suggestion that your opponent may get killed is insane. Americans also "get that if you talk about the inability of your candidate getting the white vote, you maybe a closet racist. They get stuff like that..

One of the best quotes I ever heard that can be used when someone is trying "play games with you", while being less than honest about a situation..." is "don't piss on my back and tell me its raining..." Someone who took home $100 million dollars cannot "get" what everyone else is going through. Okay?

I wanted to go to bed, but wanted to see what else was in this "love letter" to the Super Delegates. I found particularly interesting that Sen. Clinton wrote about how "recent polls and trends" show that she is the better candidate to beat Sen. McCain. "Recent polls and election results show a clear trend", she said. In her letter to the Super Delegates, I believe she mentions one poll. Awful. Just awful.

She later talks about her analysis with..."I've enclosed a detailed analysis of recent electoral and polling information, and I hope you will take some time to review it carefully." So, let me get this straight. She is writing to the Super Delegates, many of whom are well conversant with politics, telling them that they should review her analysis of polling data? You gotta be kiddin' me!

It's late now..and I can only think of one thing; how much Tylenol is in the medicine cabinet.

Maybe someone on her campaign staff with bring in a doctor or psychiatrist..and just have them travel with the campaign in case things get too out of hand for Mrs. Clinton.

Thursday, May 15, 2008

Sen. Clinton's Sun Is Setting


Sometimes a failed endeavor is a process.

It is like puzzle parts coming together, giving you a realistic picture of how things cannot be for you. We see this with athletes and entertainers, and of course, politicians. The smarter person can see these puzzle parts as signs that it is time to pack it in.

The fool presses on, not caring who she or he might hurt in their path. They are blind and mental. They are obssessed with a non-reality. Perhaps in the "other universe" - the parallell universe, their endeavor is crowned with happiness.

I agree that it is a good thing to be ambitious, but in the midst of mounting odds, it can be a losers bet.

One of the central arguments Sen. Clinton is giving for staying in the race is that she believes the votes from Michigan and Florida ought to be counted, even though the states - who knew the consequences - moved up their primaries in defiance of the DNC rules. As a result of "busting in line", those delegates, as it stands now, will not be seated. Sen. Clinton is praying for a miracle; that the Rules Committee of the DNC, which meets at the end of the month, will somehow give her a pass and seat those delegates.

If this happens, I imagine riots. The odds are that it won't.

The problem that I have with Sen. Clinton - indeed there are several - is that she is constantly changing her narrative, or trying to modify the requirements in order to secure the nomination. The key metric is delegates - 2025. Florida and Michigan are not included. We visited this issue before. When you look at every category (i.e., popular vote, delegates, Super Delegates etc..), Sen. Clinton is not leading in either one!

Super Delegates are fast gravitating to Sen. Obama. Former Presidential candidate, Sen. John Edwards, recently announced his endorsement of Sen. Obama. Things are changing rapidly. Nearly every day, Sen. Clinton's predicament becomes even more grave. Her campaign, strapped for cash, is on life support.

The sun is setting on Sen. Clinton, and she cannot accept that reality.

What kind of a message does she need in order to be convinced, "not this time...maybe 2012" or, "pack it up and unite..."? I wrote about her obsession with winning in a previous post, and I still believe that it is an element of her neurosis that has blinded her.

Some of the media spinned her win in WV as if it were some enormous feat, a sign of a possible comeback. But we have been here before. We saw how she squandered a 20+ point lead going into the PA Primary and we saw how she barely took Indiana. In North Carolina, she had her head handed to her. Sen. Clinton is being beaten horribly all over the country, and there is no argument that she can make - that will convince the remainder of the Super Delegates - that will alter the momentum that Sen. Barack Obama has.

Puzzle parts.

It is not only Democrats, but the nation as a whole is yearning for closure with this mess. Sen. Clinton may not believe that the sun will rise the day after she gives up.

If she wants to exercise some element of power, the power to give in, then now is the time. Now is the time to concede and graciously exit, and just let someone else have their turn.